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Some Quick Forex Information
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For the most part, a reputable broker can look at economic indicators and know which trades will be best. Reports on these indicators are released at scheduled times and can tell if a certain country is experiencing improvement in the economy or if the country's economy is on the decline. When the prices fluctuate, a great deal one way or the other, the price can be affected.
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Perhaps, in terms of trading volume, the currency exchange market is the world's largest market, with daily trading volumes in excess of $1.5 trillion US dollars (although the figures may differ, but this is just an approximation to show its importance). One thing is for sure that in orders of magnitude it is much larger than the bond or stock markets. For example, the New York Stock Exchange has a daily trading volume of approximately $50 billion. So you can easily imagine its importance in the trading world of today. Moreover, contrary to earlier thoughts, currency trading is not limited to just larger organizations and other large banks and financial institutions, but open to everyone who has enough expertise and determination to hard work.
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Some dealers offer a mini-account for as little as $100 to $300 but a mini-account should have at least a $1000 balance. Mini-accounts are excellent for beginner Forex traders and great to test basic trading expertise and acumen. Mini FOREX account is great for accounts below $10 000. The mini forex accounts enjoy the same benefits as the regular forex accounts, small spreads and free trading platform.
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Asian Morning Update 28th April 2008
Sun, 27 Apr 2008 18:05:44 -0400
Calm before the storm?
European releases from Friday:
Q1 Forecast Actual
U.K. GDP (QoQ) +0.4% +0.4%
U.K. GDP (QoQ) +2.6% +2.5%
March
Euro-zone M3 (YoY) 10.6% 10.3%
States releases from Friday:
April Forecast Actual
University of Michigan Confidence (F) 63.5 62.6
Friday ended the week on a quiet note as far as economic releases were concerned. The U.K.’s Q1 GDP figure was in line with forecasts and while it has eased considerably from the buoyant levels of last year it does highlight that there is still life in the old bulldog yet.
The Pound does look set to remain in a 1.93 -2.02 range for several more months now though eventually should break lower.
European officials maintained their comments on Forex rates, inflation being too high but also that the financial market turmoil not over yet. Nothing new though Noyer added that they are in the process of understanding precisely what triggered the latest developments and we will then find the appropriate way to help the market move in the right direction.
In the States the final University of Michigan Confidence for April was revised lower which shouldn’t be a huge shock. President Bush took time just to remind everyone that Santa is on his way earlier this year with tax rebate checks beginning to hit bank account this week. “The money's going to help Americans offset the high prices we're seeing at the gas pump and the grocery store and it will also give our economy a boost to help us pull out of this economic slowdown,” he said.
Unless of course they choose to save it for a rainy day.
However, all this will be overwhelmed by the week’s figures which will reach a climax on Wednesday with the release of Q1 GDP numbers and the FOMC decision.
Indeed, the GDP numbers in particular could well influence the Dollar significantly. Consensus forecast is for a marginally positive annualized number. If this proves to be the case then the entire argument for recession becomes more uncertain.
Clearly the market has been pricing in a negative H1 growth with potential for a mild recovery in H2. A positive Q1 GDP could begin to change the picture and avoid an official recession that requires two consecutive quarters of negative growth.
The European inflation and final retail & manufacturing PMI numbers are also out this week. Risk is for any mild downward revisions to knock home the chance that the differentials between the U.S. and Europe are less than forecast.
Technically the Euro completed a perfect bearish reversal week and does warn of a potential larger reversal in trend. It certainly has come at the right time with Dollar cycles having made a low for the year (against the European currencies) and the expectations are for a general move higher for the Dollar for the remainder of the year.
However, ahead of Wednesday’s numbers the chances are that the market is going to be playing a cautious waiting game. However, by the end of the week the strong risk is for a higher Dollar.
More later once the daily analysis has been done…
The following releases are due from Asia due today:
Japan
March Retail Sales (MoM) +0.7%
March Retail Sales (YoY) +1.0%
U.K.
April Nationwide House Prices (MoM) - 0.5%
April Nationwide House Prices (YoY) +0.0%
See Also
- New to Forex?
Learn more about the currency markets
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Additional Info On Forex Today
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If you take the time time to learn the art of forex trading you can potentially earn $3,000 or more per month by working about 4 hours per day. Forex trading can be the best home based business you can dream of.
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Current events and the state of the economy in any given nation is one of the top economic indicators used when analyzing the Forex. Factors such as unemployment numbers, housing statistics and the current state of a country's government can all affect changes in the Forex. When a country is feeling optimisitic about the current state of affairs in their country, prices of the Forex will reflect this. When a nation experiences political unrest, large amounts of unemployed workers and inflation, the rate of the currency will be reflected. Sometimes, this indicator tends to be overlooked, but can serve as an important gauge in the fluctuations of the Forex.
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For those interesting in being involved with Forex trading, a basic understanding of how the system works is essential. Understanding both forecasting systems and how they can predict the market trends will help Forex traders be successful with their trading. Most experienced traders and brokers involved with the Forex use a system of both technical and fundamental information when making decisions about the Forex market. When used together, they can provide the trader with invaluable information about where the currency trends are headed.
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In short, EUR/GBP and GBP/CHF are leading indicators for EUR/USD and USD/CHF, and GBP/JPY, EUR/JPY and CHF/JPY are leading indicators for USD/JPY. EUR/JPY plays a very important role in EUR/JPY direction too, while GBP/JPY plays the same role for GBP/USD. For example, yesterday?s EUR/USD weakness largely started from EUR/JPY sales keeping EUR/USD and USD/JPY downwards. As a rule of thumb, if EUR/USD does not move but EUR/GBP moves first, it is a good indicator that someone is maneuvering in EUR/USD front in the same direction later, and when EUR/USD moves but EUR/GBP does not move first or in tandem, then it is highly likely EUR/USD move is countered by its opponent and the opposite move is highly likely soon. Same applies in USD/JPY and EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY front in the same fashion. Imho. Good trades.
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